Allan Lichtman stands behind prediction that Biden beats Trump as battleground vote fight continues

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WASHINGTON – “It’s a shame – a crying shame – that this election is going be decided by a few thousand votes in a few ,” said Dr. Allan Lichtman, the American University professor who has picked the winner of every U.S. election since 1984.

Although neither President Donald or Joe had amassed the votes needed win the White House when we spoke Lichtman on Wednesday he says he’s abandoning his pick, saying he still feels ’s time in office will soon come an end.

Lichtman says two things need to be concluded following the outcome of the 2020 election. First, he says, there must be a change made to the Electoral College. He noted that since 1992, only one Republican president had won the popular vote – George Bush in the 2004 election.

, Lichtman says it’s time to do away election polls. “Eliminate it. Abolish it. All it does is lead us astray. The pollsters do know how to accurately handicap an election,” he said. “They were wrong in 2016 — and even if ekes out a win – they are still way the margins this time predicting basically a landslide. “

Using a system of ’13 keys’ to his predictions, Lichtman says that if is ultimately declared the winner of the 2020 election it will be because the Electoral College has become more and more unrepresentative. “It has become so hard for a Democrat to win the Electoral College – almost impossible unless there is a big blue wave. I suspect is going to win the popular vote by several million votes nationwide. But Republicans virtually have a lock on the Electoral College.”

“Maybe it’s time to retire my prediction system. Things have changed so much structurally – it doesn’t work anymore. We’ll see,” Lichtman added. According to his system, Trump poised to win a term in office going into 2020 prior to the -19 and the economic crisis. He called this election one of the most difficult to predict because of the sudden and rapid changes in just a few short months.

(NOTE TO READER: Lichtman predicted Al Gore as the winner of the 2000 election. Legal battles lasted 36 days after Election Day the ordering a halt to a Florida hand recount in December of that year giving President George Bush the victory. Gore won the popular vote. Lichtman stands by his prediction.)